Google traffic wobble sends major signal for sinking Reddit stock

Reddit just posted one of its best quarters ever. Revenue rose 61% year over year, and profit more than doubled. Guidance topped what Wall Street expected, yet the stock still dropped.

That disconnect tells you something important about how investors are thinking about Reddit (RDDT) right now, and it has almost nothing to do with the numbers everyone expected to matter.

Reddit’s earnings beat the numbers but missed the mood

In Q2 of 2026:

  • Reddit reported revenue of $805 million, up 61% from a year earlier.

  • Net income came in at $253 million, or $1.25 per diluted share, compared with $89 million a year ago. 

  • Earnings per share of $1.25 sailed past the $0.95 analysts had penciled in, and revenue cleared the $730 million estimate with room to spare, according to CNBC

Guidance looked even stronger.

Reddit told investors it expects third-quarter revenue between $860 million and $870 million, above the $854 million consensus, along with adjusted earnings of $385 million to $395 million. 

By almost any measure, that is a strong report. Yet Reddit shares are down 23% at the time of writing,  after the company flagged one phrase in its investor letter: search referrals were choppy.

That single line, more than the earnings beat itself, is what moved the stock.

Google search referral traffic declines in Q2

Reddit has spent years building a business that leans heavily on people arriving through Google search. 

When someone types a question in Google, and a Reddit thread shows up in the results, that click often turns into a new Reddit user. 

As Google leans harder into AI-generated answers instead of the traditional list of links, fewer of those clicks make it through to Reddit. 

More AI:

CEO Steve Huffman addressed the issue directly on the earnings call, stating:

“Search referrals were choppy in the quarter, and traffic was more volatile later in the quarter. But the bigger picture is unchanged. The commercial business is strong, our revenue growth is differentiated, and we have much to be encouraged by on the product side.”

Investors have watched this worry play out before. Earlier this year, Reddit shares tumbled after reports that the company was weighing whether to cut off Google’s access to its data entirely.  

Reddit has raised concerns that referral traffic keeps shrinking as Google pushes its own AI chat tools instead of sending users elsewhere.

Source link

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Scroll to Top